Forecasting the electric vehicle market in an urbanized environment

Volodymyr Kharchenko*, Hanna Kharchenko, Olena Vilchynska

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

The rapid urbanization of modern cities creates problems such as increased traffic congestion, increased greenhouse gas emissions, and environmental degradation. All this creates a need for environmentally friendly transport solutions. This research article examines the dynamics of the electric vehicle market in an urbanized environment, focusing on key factors such as the development of modern infrastructure, government policies, and consumer behaviour. Using a state-of-the-art ARIMA forecasting model, the study aims to predict future trends in the use of electric vehicles and their implications for urban transport infrastructure, economic dynamics and environmental impact. The study contributes to the understanding of how urbanization and environmental issues are shaping the demand for electric vehicles, identifying critical trends that will influence their growth in today’s cities. The integration of electric vehicles into smart city ecosystems is also being investigated, in particular with regard to charging infrastructure and traffic management systems. The results show a steady increase in the use of electric vehicles thanks to various economic incentives, environmental awareness and changing social preferences. The obtained results make it clear to economists, politicians, urban planners and businesses the need for strategic investments in modern infrastructure to support the transition to sustainable urban transport and reduce the harmful impact on the environment.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationIntelligent Transport Systems: Ecology, Safety, Quality, Comfort - Proceedings of ITS ESQC 2024
EditorsOlena Slavinska, Viktor Danchuk, Olga Kunytska, Oksana Hulchak
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages111-123
Number of pages13
Volume2
ISBN (Electronic)9783031873799
ISBN (Print)9783031873782
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 30 Mar 2025
Event2nd International Scientific Conference Intelligent Transport Systems: Ecology, Safety, Quality, Comfort - Kyiv, Ukraine
Duration: 26 Nov 202427 Nov 2024
Conference number: 2

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Networks and Systems
Volume1336 LNNS
ISSN (Print)2367-3370
ISSN (Electronic)2367-3389

Conference

Conference2nd International Scientific Conference Intelligent Transport Systems: Ecology, Safety, Quality, Comfort
Abbreviated titleITSESQC 2024
Country/TerritoryUkraine
CityKyiv
Period26/11/2427/11/24

Keywords

  • ARIMA Model
  • Electric Vehicles
  • Forecasting
  • Modelling
  • Sustainable Development
  • Urbanization

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Control and Systems Engineering
  • Signal Processing
  • Computer Networks and Communications

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