Analysis of influencing factors on power cable failures using cox proportional hazards model

Hang Wang, Fu Guangpan*, Yang Bin, Jiang Wei, Zhou Wenjun, Tian Chi, Tang Zeyang, Zhou Chengke

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

7 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Deep mining of power cable fault information can improve the analysis of cable fault influencing factors. Therefore, based on the 10 kV power cable fault data of a power supply company, the statistical model—Cox proportional hazard model was used to quantitatively analyze the influencing factors of cable faults to guide cable procurement, construction, operation and maintenance. In order to ensure the accuracy of data analysis, the cable data preprocessing principle is proposed, and the appropriate sample size is discussed. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze the influencing factors of cable faults; the Logistic regression model was used to determine the types of influencing factors of cable faults, and the cable failure rate corresponding to each influencing factor of cable faults was calculated statistically, and the components of each influencing factor were determined. The relative risk degree finally proved the correctness of the Cox proportional hazards model analysis results. The results show that the cable failure rates of main body manufacturer M1, accessory manufacturer N1, and construction unit I3 are 0.33, 0.29, and 0.218 respectively. Enterprises should pay attention to these three units when purchasing, constructing, and maintaining cables.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2442-2450
Number of pages9
JournalGaodianya Jishu/High Voltage Engineering
Issue number8
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 31 Aug 2016

Keywords

  • power cable
  • Fault influencing factorsmodel
  • sample
  • Cox proportional hazard
  • Logistic regression model
  • cable failure rate

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Energy Engineering and Power Technology
  • Electrical and Electronic Engineering

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